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Why the global balance of power is shifting in China's favour
Why the global balance of power is shifting in China's favour

South China Morning Post

time19-07-2025

  • Business
  • South China Morning Post

Why the global balance of power is shifting in China's favour

In recent years, the world has entered an acute phase of geopolitical confrontation, driven by structural problems such as trade imbalances. Historically, such crises have often been addressed through military conflicts aimed at weakening rivals and redirecting financial and trade flows. This logic is examined in The Price of War, a study of conflicts spanning over 150 years. Advertisement Since most major powers today possess weapons of mass destruction for deterrence, confrontation has largely taken on a hybrid form. Yet the United States' drive to solve domestic problems at others' expense remains, especially in its relations with China, Russia and the European Union. The toolbox of weapons has expanded to include economic tools such as tariffs or tech restrictions designed to limit the development of highly value-added industries. The White House might be confident about this arsenal, but US President Donald Trump's policies of tariffs, tax cuts and pressure on the US Federal Reserve have coincided with a weakening US dollar . Meanwhile, efforts to reduce the trade deficit have diminished both Washington's global role and overall investor confidence. The US dollar remains Washington's key economic weapon. But its declining status weakens US geopolitical influence. Since 2000, the US dollar's share in global reserves has fallen from 71 per cent to below 60 per cent. A recent study by the International Monetary Fund suggests that in times of rising global tension, countries diversify their currency holdings. The S&P 500's record performance , when measured in other major currencies, reveals a shift in the global financial system. Recent events are dispelling the illusion of US economic invincibility. Advertisement These trends are especially clear when viewed through a multidimensional national power index based on dozens of indicators such as demographics, technology, economy and military strength. My team at the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences has developed a method to rank countries based on power.

G20 finance chiefs express concerns on Trump's tariffs
G20 finance chiefs express concerns on Trump's tariffs

NHK

time18-07-2025

  • Business
  • NHK

G20 finance chiefs express concerns on Trump's tariffs

Finance ministers and central-bank governors from the Group of 20 economies have ended their first day of talks in South Africa. US tariff policy was a major topic. Some of the finance chiefs said they are concerned about the impact on the global economy of new tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump. Some said the policies will be ineffective in eliminating trade imbalances. Many of the officials also expressed the view that the global economic outlook will grow more uncertain. Japanese Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu told reporters after the meeting, "Japan expressed concerns about the effects on the global economy and financial markets of uncertainty caused by a series of US tariffs. We also stressed it is important to maintain a free and open multilateral trade system and achieve growth in the global economy." The G20 finance chiefs are expected to discuss sustainable economic growth in Africa and other issues on the second day of their talks. They are working to adopt a joint statement at the end of the two-day meeting.

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